Joye: House prices to fall in 2018

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From Mr Joye today:

After forecasting house price rises every year since 2013, I’m happy to double-down on our April 2017 call that the boom is over and project that prices will fall in 2018.

…If our contrarian case for Australia’s jobless rate falling below 5 per cent in 2018 comes to pass (the RBA’s brighter boffins reckon it will be 5.5 per cent in December), the central bank will have no choice but to raise rates once or twice assuming it acts rationally. This will reinforce the magnitude of the expected correction.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.