McKibbin recommends Australian recession

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Via the AFR:

Anticipating critics of normalisation – which may see the cash rate pushed towards 3.5 per cent – and who argue rate hikes will crunch heavily indebted households and cause an economic slump, Professor McKibbin said: “If we have become that vulnerable, do it now, not in a year when it’ll be much bigger.”

“Let’s have a mild bump now rather than a big one later,” he said, though he concedes the housing debt bubble is now so advanced that it is already too late for some households that have over-borrowed.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.