Driverless cabs in 2026? Try three years

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Via the AFR:

The chief executive of Cabcharge says driverless taxis are likely to be operating in Australia by 2026 but they will “co-mingle” with thousands of traditional cabs that will still be on the roads with a driver for decades to come.

Andrew Skelton, the boss of the taxi payments company which oversees a fleet of 8,600 taxis across Australia, said the right regulatory framework needed to be in place but the company was working internally on a timetable of 2026-27 for the advent of the first autonomous taxi vehicles.

“They are going to co-mingle. Driven taxis don’t suddenly stop,” he said after the company’s annual general meeting in Sydney.

Cabcharge expects revenues to return to double-digit growth in 2017-18 as the acquisition of Yellow Cabs in Queensland and heavy investment in new technology and marketing begin to pay off, but it still faces an uphill battle against ride-sharing services like Uber.

If this is what Cabcharge is planning for then it’s already dead. It will be wiped out by Uber and other private operators in about a week when driverless rideshares takeoff. The economics of driverless cars are unbelievably cheap compared with manned cabs and the latter will simply cease to exist overnight.

About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.