So, you don’t think a US housing crash can happen Downunder. Better read this then…

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From Watermark Asset Management comes a cracking new report that should make you very concerned indeed.

What’s in store for the Australian property market?

It is well known that Australia has high house prices and elevated levels of household debt. Less widely discussed, but equally important in our view, is Australia’s extraordinary level of speculative amateur investor activity in the housing market. In this report, we show that the participation of levered amateur investors in domestic housing is inflated in comparison to other countries, both currently and historically. We provide examples from the US to demonstrate that housing markets with significant investor participation tend to be more volatile – both in periods of boom and bust.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.