It’s been the worst month for China’s local corporate notes in two years. And it might just be the start, as the nation’s top bond fund manager says yield premiums could rise further in 2018.
“There is a high probability that credit spreads will widen next year given that there hasn’t been any improvement in the tight liquidity,” said Zhang Qinghua, general manager of fixed-income fund investment at E Fund Management Co. His E Fund Stable Value Bond-A fund has returned 15 percent, the best among fixed-income funds in China with more than 3 billion yuan ($454 million) of assets that are tracked by Bloomberg data.
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David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal.
He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.
