Population ponzi means 5 million “nightmare commutes” every day

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By Leith van Onselen

From the Herald-Sun comes yet another report that traffic congestion in Australia’s big cities is becoming unbearable as the population bulges from never-ending mass immigration:

RESIDENTS in some western suburbs say they are stuck in their cars for more than 20 hours a week as they battle to get to work on the city’s congested road network.

National Nightmare Commute Day, held today, gives a voice — and a hashtag — to the frustration and time-wasting experienced by nearly five million Australians living in fast-growing outer suburbs.

Local residents will use #nightmarecommute on social media to share their stories of public transport and wasted hours getting to and from work or study each day.

Melton resident Claire Radbourne spends up to four hours a day in her car travelling to and from St Kilda.

“I love my job and where I live, and I don’t want to change either, but my commute can be nightmarish,” she said…

Wyndham Mayor Henry Barlow said five million Australians live in fast-growing outer suburbs like Tarneit, Point Cook and Truganina.

“On average, those residents will spend up to 800 hours every year commuting on the crowded Werribee train line,” Cr Barlow said.

“Politicians will need to listen and act when we ask them to extend train lines or add extra services on the Werribee line, increase car parking at train stations, and create jobs closer to home — so that people don’t have to face nightmare commutes at all.”

Research undertaken by the National Growth Areas Alliance, which convenes National Nightmare Commute Day shows there is a $50 billion backlog in roads, rail and health facilities in fast-growing outer suburbs.

In the video attached to the article, the self-proclaimed “unabashed supporter of a bigger Australia”, Bernard Salt, ignored the obvious cause of the growing congestion – mass immigration and turbo-charged population growth – instead blaming a lack of investment in infrastructure:

“There is no doubt that congestion is choking Melbourne. What is actually required is a significant investment in a range of public transport and motorway projects going forward. I think that it’s not just identifying projects but its, of course, coming up with the funding and commitment, not just for Melbourne and Victoria, but also from Canberra to actually deliver fluidity into the world’s most livable city”.

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Bernard Salt needs a good dose of honesty. Australia’s cities have next to zero chance of outrunning the population ponzi bestowed on them by the federal government’s mass immigration ‘Big Australia’ program.

Bernard Salt’s own projections have Sydney’s and Melbourne’s populations each topping 11 million by the end of the century, whereas Brisbane and Perth will also experience extreme population growth, hitting 6.2 million and 7.0 million people respectively:

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The Bureau of Infrastructure and Regional Economics has already forecast soaring costs of congestion, particularly in Sydney and Melbourne, over the 15 years to 2030 based upon lower population growth projections than exist currently:

ScreenHunter_15369 Oct. 11 07.21

It is pointless fingering the failure to plan for these outcomes when it has now been obvious for a decade that governments, policy makers and planners have neither the will, resources nor brains to do so.

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The only genuine solution to alleviating the pressures that come from mass immigration and population growth is to at least halve the permanent migrant intake.

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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.