Chinese capital outflow turns to trickle

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Is the yuan done falling? Via Capital Economics:

China’s foreign exchange reserve figures for June suggest that, having eased markedly since the start of the year, capital outflow pressures remained muted last month. We think this shift could prove durable, with the renminbi performing better than expected in the coming years.

• The value of the reserves amounted to $3,056.8bn at the end of June, up $3bn from a month earlier (the Bloomberg median was $3,061bn, our forecast was $3,031bn).

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.