Specufestor mortgages still accelerating in March but…
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APRA’s March mortgage data is out and shows specufestor loans still accelerating at 4.6% year on year, up from 4.4% in February:
| ANZ | CBA | MAC | NAB | SUN | WBC | BEN | SUN | Total | |
| Mar-17 | -0.4 | 8.4 | -6.3 | 4.9 | 2.8 | 5.7 | 4.4 | 2.8 | 4.6 |
| Feb-17 | -1.1 | 8.4 | -6.1 | 4.6 | 5.2 | 5.5 | 5.6 | 5.2 | 4.4 |
| Jan-17 | -1.7 | 7.9 | -5.7 | 4.6 | 4.5 | 5.1 | 4.9 | 4.5 | 4.2 |
| Dec-16 | -1.7 | 7.2 | -5.2 | 4.5 | 3.8 | 5.1 | 3.6 | 3.8 | 4.0 |
| Nov-16 | -2.1 | 6.3 | -4.8 | 4.5 | 1.9 | 4.3 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 3.4 |
| Oct-16 | -2.4 | 5.1 | -3.4 | 5.1 | 0.6 | 3.9 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 3.0 |
| Sep-16 | -2.9 | 3.4 | -3.0 | 4.9 | -0.1 | -6.9 | -1.4 | -0.1 | 0.9 |
| Aug-16 | -3.4 | 1.8 | -1.9 | 5.2 | -0.1 | -8.6 | -1.9 | -0.1 | -1.7 |
| Jul-16 | -3.7 | 1.4 | -1.1 | 5.0 | -5.1 | -12.0 | -2.3 | -5.1 | -3.0 |
| Jun-16 | -2.6 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 46.4 | -4.1 | -10.2 | -2.4 | -4.1 | 3.1 |
| May-16 | -0.9 | 1.5 | 4.5 | 48.2 | -5.3 | -9.8 | 3.6 | -5.3 | 4.1 |
| Apr-16 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 17.3 | 49.3 | -6.9 | -9.3 | 3.3 | -6.9 | 5.0 |
| Mar-16 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 19.9 | 50.7 | -7.3 | -8.8 | -7.3 | -7.3 | 5.7 |
Here’s the chart:
However, month on month gains have been slowing at 0.3% with the big two off the boil:
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| ANZ | CBA | MAC | NAB | SUN | WBC | BEN | SUN | Total | |
| Mar-17 | 0.5 | 0.2 | -0.2 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | -2.4 | 0.3 |
| Feb-17 | 0.3 | 0.4 | -0.8 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| Jan-17 | -0.1 | 0.6 | -0.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| Dec-16 | 0.5 | 0.8 | -0.9 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Nov-16 | 0.3 | 0.8 | -0.8 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Oct-16 | 0.2 | 0.7 | -0.6 | 0.6 | -0.2 | 0.6 | 1.9 | -0.2 | 0.5 |
| Sep-16 | -0.1 | 0.7 | -0.7 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | -0.4 | 0.4 |
| Aug-16 | -0.3 | 0.6 | -1.0 | 0.4 | -0.3 | 0.6 | 1.0 | -0.3 | 0.3 |
| Jul-16 | -0.6 | 0.7 | -0.6 | 0.3 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 0.5 | -0.1 | 0.3 |
| Jun-16 | -0.5 | 1.2 | -0.1 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 0.6 | -6.3 | 1.7 | 0.3 |
| May-16 | -0.4 | 0.9 | -0.2 | 0.4 | 2.1 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 0.4 |
| Apr-16 | -0.2 | 0.5 | -0.1 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.2 |
| Mar-16 | -0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | -0.1 | 0.3 | 1.1 | -0.1 | 0.2 |
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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific's leading geo-politics and economics portal.
He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.