Records tumble through Straya’s “angry summer”

From the Climate Institute annual report:

KEY FINDINGS

1. The Australian summer of 2016/17 marked the return of the Angry Summer with record-breaking heat especially in the east of the nation. The Angry Summer was characterised by intense heatwaves, hot days and bushfires in central and eastern Australia, while heavy rainfall and flooding affected the west of the country. Noteworthy records from this summer include:

  • In just 90 days, more than 205 records were broken around Australia.
  • The state-wide mean temperature in summer was the hottest for New South Wales since records began, with temperatures 2.57°C above average.
  • Sydney had its hottest summer on record with a mean temperature 2.8°C above average.
  • Brisbane had its hottest summer on record in terms of mean temperature at 26.8°C, equivalent to 1.7°C above average.
  • Canberra had its hottest summer on record in terms of daytime temperatures and recorded temperatures of at least 35°C on 18 days, already far higher than what is projected for 2030 (12 days).
  • Adelaide experienced its hottest Christmas day in 70 years at 41.3°C.
  • Moree in regional New South Wales experienced 54 consecutive days of temperatures 35°C or above, a record for the state.
  • Perth had its highest summer total rainfall on record of 192.8 mm.

2. Climate change is driving hotter, longer lasting and more frequent heatwaves.

  • The 2016/17 extreme summer heat in New South Wales was at least 50 times more likely to occur due to climate change.
  • Protecting Australians from the impacts of summers with relentless extreme heat requires the uptake of cheap, clean and efficient renewable energy and the phasing out fossil fuels.
  • Commissioning new fossil fuel (coal, oil and gas) projects is incompatible with limiting the dangerous impacts of climate change, such as the failure of critical infrastructure.

3. Escalating extreme weather is putting Australia’s ageing energy system under intense pressure.

  • Australia’s energy system is ageing, inefficient and polluting, and during the Angry Summer proved unable to cope with escalating extreme weather, like heatwaves.
  • Days of extreme heat and heatwaves will become even more frequent and severe in Australia, and will increase the risks to critical infrastructure (e.g. electricity), the economy, health and ecosystems.

4. The costs of the extreme heat are clear with reduced work productivity, increasing risk of bushfires and escalating damage to the Great Barrier Reef.

  • The impacts of the last Angry Summer of 2013/14 cost the Australian economy approximately $8 billion through absenteeism and a reduction in work productivity. The economic impact from the 2016/17 Angry Summer has not yet been quantified.
  • Above-average sea surface temperatures this summer have triggered a new bleaching outbreak on the Great Barrier Reef. This follows the worst mass bleaching event in the reef’s history in 2016.
  • Extreme fire weather is increasing in Australia’s southeast. During the most severe heatwave of this recent Australian summer, nearly 100 bushfires were ignited and raged through parts of inland New South Wales.
    6d188c0dcd69fce2d3b9608f82a2fde0

 

Comments

  1. BenjaminMEMBER

    LOL @ Melbourne – naturally so volatile it doesn’t even register a mention!

    • Well, that’s just a shade of grey less than Adelaide’s “hottest Christmas day in 70 years at 41.3°C”

      I never knew that religious holidays and science are so entangled /sarc

    • Melbourne – the most carbon intensive city per capita in the world- thanks to Latrobe Valley coal and transmission losses

    • In Melbourne it was actually a super long winter with about 10 spring days and a really mild summer with only a couple of weeks of summer weather.

      BTW everyone, we should be in drought by the end of the year. California flooded. We’ll go dry.

  2. You know no one in the media gives flying frack when WA gets 3 weeks of 40c + days. But as soon as the east coast gets any kind of weather then its headline news. Seems that the east coast needs a frack load more heat waves, lasting longer and longer so that the political thieving leaches in govt might finally take climate change seriously.

    • Pauline Ransom will take care of them islamist terrorists.. They usually come in groups dont they, typical herd mentality.

    • AlbyManglesMEMBER

      action should definitely be taken as this jelly fish has the potential to lower house prices along the QLD coast for sure

    • Bloody hell they’ve gone too far with this whole ‘stop the boats’ thing now. First sharks and now this??

  3. Perth had one of its coldest wettest summers on record. The Eastern States gets a little dose of traditional West Coast summer and we have meltdown.

    “The imbalance between the two hemispheres is obvious. The lower troposphere over Australia has been strongly cooling for 18 years and 9 months- just shy of half the record.

    The Pause has disappeared from the USA and the Southern Hemisphere, but not the Southern Extra-Tropics, South Temperate, and South Polar regions, or Australia. El Nino tropical heat is rapidly decreasing, with all northern means falling, but will continue to affect the Southern Hemisphere in coming months. Global TLT anomalies have increased a little. The next few months will be interesting.”

    An evolving science.

    • Perth had one of its coldest wettest summers on record.

      El Nino on steroids, thanks to AGW, caused by your employers, inter alia.

      The Eastern States gets a little dose of traditional West Coast summer experienced record heat and we have meltdown.

      Fixed. It’s a fulltime job re-connecting your neurons so that your thought ejaculations make sense, 3d. 😁

      “The Pause has disappeared from the USA and the Southern Hemisphere, but not the Southern Extra-Tropics, South Temperate, and South Polar regions, or Australia. El Nino tropical heat is rapidly decreasing, with all northern means falling, but will continue to affect the Southern Hemisphere in coming months. Global TLT anomalies have increased a little. The next few months will be interesting.”

      You quote someone but do not tell us who it is, 3d. Is it a famous climate scientist? A Nobel winner, perhaps?

      No, it’s a retired school principal called Ken Stewart.
      https://kenskingdom.wordpress.com/

      So this is how far you have fallen, you microcephalic homunculus — now you are quoting Uncle Arthur from up the street as proof that climate scientists are wrong. 😂

      An evolving science

      You wouldn’t know “science” from a stale lamington cake, ament.

      • Whom else than an eco-nazi to resort to ad-hominem and trolling of the post

        R2M, are you eco-scientist in addition to being an eco-nazi?
        Your opinion can be at best as valid as that of Ken that you attack, or less.
        Yet, you foist your *opinion* onto others on every opportunity and deny alternatives (talking of “deniers”).

        “I have a deep seated scepticism for anything produced by governments, political parties, religious organisations, or big business. I am very wary of any people with strongly held beliefs they hope to foist on others, such as fundamentalists, jihadis, Greenpeace, global warming fanatics, creationists or intelligent design promoters, neo-Nazis.
        I strongly believe in: the future of the world, public education, the beauty of nature, the family, the power of learning, the importance of asking good questions and finding answers for yourself.

        I do not have a clue what Ken want to say nor I am interested in his opinion.
        But I am interested in eco-Nazism that resorts to foul lingo and ad-hominem as self proclaimed false advocates of eco issues.

        Unless you have undeniable facts about Ken and F E – to dispute what they say, you’re just trolling.

      • @RTM – A hoax? If your brain was chocolate it wouldn’t fill an M&M.

        Dicks like you shouldn’t be able to even post with paying. Wanker.

    • “Perth had one of its coldest wettest summers on record. The Eastern States gets a little dose of traditional West Coast summer and we have meltdown.”

      Yes, cos there’s nothing at all to worry about when an area mimics a climate from ~2000 miles away. Wait till London gets a dose of Saharan Summer, then we’ll know this thing is for real!

      • desmodromicMEMBER

        Actually it is more likely that London will freeze as the Gulf Stream shuts down due to glacial melt from Greenland into the North Atlantic.

    • It was lovely in Perth though – -one of the best Summers I’ve experienced.
      FFS don’t even mention that climate change is a hoax – Your post will be deleted 🙂
      (not funny)

  4. DarkMatterMEMBER

    Here is an alternate view of why we shouldn’t burn or sell coal. Coal is good – too good to burn! Let’s project forward a few decades. It is not certain, but likely, that our technology base will have moved from silicon to graphene – which is carbon based. That would mean that most things (including solar panels) would be made using additive manufacturing and carbon resources. A very good source of raw materials in that case would be coal and oil – complex hydrocarbons and other elements.

    In that future, Australia would be very well placed with abundant energy and raw materials. A ton of coal that is burned gives a bit of low grade heat energy, smoke and CO2. A ton of coal that is fed into a future manufactory could produce a ton of complex, useful items – including solar panels. In Australia we are about 0.3% of the world population, so the bit of CO2 from our coal stations is not even a rounding error. Much worse is the coal we export. Much, much worse is that we sell it for a song and it could be vastly more important in the future as a resource, to make thing rather than just burn it up.

    Won’t we look like fools to our descendants if we have sold or burned all our coal?

    • There’s another alternative.

      We grow trees to remove carbon from the air, ferment them to produce cellulosic methanol as the green fuel compatible with modern car engines and use its fermentation byproduct (charcoal) as the source of good carbon.

  5. Try renting a house with no air con. It should be a legal requirement to have 1 if each summer will be hotter than the last.

  6. Even if they had records from 150 years ago in Aust what percentage would that data represent of the total amount of time the earth has existed? People will say they have carbon dating and all sorts of models/measurements for analysing historical temperature variations, are these just the same as economic models, you type in whatever data to get the answer you want.

    • So what? We’re only interested in the last 10k years, during which our civilization evolved. Sure Earth has been hotter, but there was no human civilization then. A hotter world means we cannot survive, except at the poles, and in a mean and nasty fashion.

      But don’t listen to me or the scientists, go off and read a denier blog that makes you feel good about yourself.

      • “are these just the same as economic models, you type in whatever data to get the answer you want.”

        It is a perfect and valid question about modeling.
        I cannot know the answer to that but I know that truth withstands any questioning and it is infallible. No harm can come from questioning, ever.

        Instead of quasi intelligent pseudo scientific response, one could actually point towards why the modeling in question is, well, valid.
        That requires actually understanding what the question was, in the first place, and then understanding what those instructive pseudo-eco oriented web blogs tell you to say. A challenge for an eco-nazi, evidently.

      • drsmithyMEMBER

        No harm can come from questioning, ever.

        Right. I mean, no harm ever came from spending decades questioning the connection between smoking and cancer, long after it was known beyond any doubt, to delay action being taken, right ?

        Instead of quasi intelligent pseudo scientific response, one could actually point towards why the modeling in question is, well, valid.

        https://www.skepticalscience.com/climate-models.htm

      • Smithy,

        firstly thank you for pointing back to thee instructive web site of them all, the Mecca of Revert2Mean knowledge base: The Skeptical Science – the ultimate strawman blog, as compiled by pseudo scientists – for those that cannot think for them selves and use plethora of available info. A lazy “scientist” blog perhaps?

        The strawman link you provided starts from a spurious assumption that “[Models] are full of fudge factors that are fitted to the existing climate, so the models more or less agree with the observed data.”
        None the less writen by, as Revert2Mean would say, whodafak is GPWayne to be an authority on modeling? (…background is a blend of work in the arts, print media, electrical engineering (audio, IT) and business management.). Not that I question his rebuttal of a “myth” only the starting premise (the myth).

        Let’s not question modeling ever because models are always perfect by a default, right?
        Why do we challenge anything ever?
        What if the model was flawed and shows AGM at a lesser pace than the real life?
        Denying the questioning is protecting the results in fear of exposure of the flaws.
        This is not about saying that there are no climate changes, only that a model must be scrutinised to be trustworthy prediction of anything. Comparison to economic modeling is self explanatory.
        Paid-for-results science always existed. Because we always remember it as working for “bad guys” it does not automatically deny opposite.

        More about modeling perils in simple and much less or almost not biased terms (do your homework for more):
        “Give me ten parameters, and I’ll simulate an elephant for you. Give me one more, and he’ll wag his tail.” The saying sums up the problem with many models. Models allow you demonstrate anything and everything, as long as there are enough knobs to turn. The real test of how good a model really is comes when you compare it to reality.

        Fortunately, climate researchers do have the ability to compare their data with reality. They can program their models, for example, to simulate the climate for the last 100 years and then compare the results with what really happened. Still, the process is not free of problems. First and foremost is the lack of data from a century ago — there are only a few dozen exact measurements from 1900. For thousands of quadrants above the oceans, deserts and ice caps, there is no data whatsoever.

        The process is not free from possible pitfalls. Using a model to establish past climate events that match up well with reality can be something of a self-fulfilling prophecy — and not necessarily one that creates reliable results for what the future might look like.

        Back to your your tobacco strawman,
        for a difference, it took medical science longer to confirm connection between cancer and tobacco than what it took Aussie .gov to almost eradicate use of it. Also, tobacco was well advertised and it is still perceived as a cool/sex symbol.

        Once again, thank you for reminding me of thee unscientifical “scientific” instructive web blog. Reading anything from it actually made me doubt my own perception of how severe the AGM stage was and if indeed there is a financial interest behind it. Or as abovementioned Ken said:

        I am very wary of any people with strongly held beliefs they hope to foist on others, such as fundamentalists, jihadis, Greenpeace, global warming fanatics, creationists or intelligent design promoters, neo-Nazis.

      • The other relevant question is who gains by accepting climate change? Australia has friends and allies in this world, by contradicting those other countries line of thinking (eg climate change) are we making ourselves a target, therefore it is easier to adopt their lies?

        How many countries don’t have a central bank and why do all those that do, continue with them when there is obvious proof they cause boom bust cycles? I think there are bigger forces at play and our gov’t has decided to take the “groupthink” strategy as the safest, therefore potentially invalidating all existing thought and so called proof.

        (Groupthink is a psychological phenomenon that occurs within a group of people in which the desire for harmony or conformity in the group results in an irrational or dysfunctional decision-making outcome).

        On how many occasions has Aust deviated from US economic, climate and military thinking in recent years? I get the feeling we cant make an independent decision.

      • drsmithyMEMBER

        A 500 word strawman laden rant that opens by complaining about strawmen and fails to make any meaningful point ?

        Sublime.

        If Mike is worried about whether climate models are any good, the sceptical science link has the explanation and sources he needs to confirm his opinion. The primary reason they’re different to economic models, is that they actually use the scientific method.

      • Smithy,

        since you struggle I will simplify for you:

        1. skepticalscience.com is worse source than CNN and it is an “instructions for dumbfcuks” blog.
        2. Only dogmatic and fanatical believer rejects questioning (eco-nazi too)
        3. modeling is not exact science nor a crystal ball (but it is an excellent tool when used correctly)
        4. Rant? bollocks. You’re just to lazy to read what does not swing your way.

        I can further simplify.
        Kindergarten level?

      • Djenka, your opinion about the skepticalscience site is worthless. The site is run by a solar physicist (Cook) and won the 2011 Eureka Prize from the Australian Museum in the category of Advancement of Climate Change Knowledge. You, on the other hand, seem to be merely a nobody with dumb opinions.

      • Revert2Mean

        You just ruined my good night sleep.

        on the other hand… ad-hominem is best you could ever do. Again.

      • So you essentially have zero comeback to the fact that I showed you were lying about skepticalscience.com being “compiled by pseudo scientists”? Figures.

        You are perhaps the most worthless commenter at this site. Maybe you’d be happier commenting elsewhere, at a site where your poor research, lies and general lack of understanding of complex issues won’t make you stick out like a sore thumb?

      • Ad hominems are sometimes richly deserved and most appropriate. This is a case in point. Your arguments are dishonest and absurd, so I’m ignoring them and going directly at you, hoping to discourage you from pooping all over these discussions again.

      • Sure, 150 bucks makes a commenter spew pure truth and ejaculates only ultimate knowledge…

        when I click one of the advertisements i have no interest at all (but do it to support MB), I can feel the wisdom gushing from my M+M sized no-membership-paid brain

        /sigh

      • So I take it Mike is your alt? This is even more pathetic than I thought. How many freeloading accounts do you have?

      • Take it as you like, on Uranus, oral-B, rub it on your chest or any way it tickles our fancy.

        It will not change that paying membership does makes one suddenly spew ultimate wisdom (as obvious from your comment)
        and thinking that it will – is the proof of madness.

    • I guess that’s what 3d (“coldest wettest summers”), Mike (climate models are crap) and AuRules (“best Summer”) are saying. Nothing to see here, all the world’s scientists are wrong, and my employer’s profits are sacrosanct.

      • I was in Sydney and it was one of the best Summers here. The heater in my car was still on … though at half power, not joking. No air-con at home .. bloody cold place 10mths/yr anyway. I’ve suffered a lot during European inland Winters but I adapted. Those who don’t adapt will perish. The law of nature.

  7. SoMPLSBoyMEMBER

    Arctic / Antarctic Sea Ice under severe pressure as pole temps climb to disturbing levels. CA /US Great Lakes only have 11% ice cover . Just can’t imagine life in AUS w/o the cooling influence of the ice continent to our south. All this heat is seeking a condenser; and it has been found.
    Death Spiral of Arctic Sea Ice:
    https://twitter.com/ahaveland?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw

  8. When the multi-million dollar mansions of the eastern suburbs and lower north shore are under threat from rising sea levels, i’m sure the politicians will be forced to act. Until then, stop scaremongering us with all this man-made climate drivel.

    • x-cept it will be too late for many and for much
      It’s like a free swing that is pulled one side.
      It is stable until the hold on it is lost.
      and then it will eventually find its stable position again but it will swing a lot before it stops.