Pallid CBA delivers soft result

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On the CBA result:

Event

  • CBA’s 1Q17 headline result was largely in line with our expectations, albeit on a pre-provision basis the result was a touch softer. While we are cautious of reading too much into quarterly trends, CBA’s semi-annualised underlying earnings appear to be ~2% below our expectations. Furthermore, consistent with trends from peers, trading income supported revenue performance while margins were slightly lower despite mortgage repricing benefits. We suspect this was driven by lower underlying mortgage margins (ex. repricing benefits), a result of aggressive competitive dynamics from 2H16. CBA’s capital position was stronger than we expected underpinned by well controlled credit RWA (a similar trend across the sector) and lower than expected impact of mortgage RWAs change (80bps vs 100bps). On a proforma basis, CBA’s core tier one capital of 9.4-9.5% is now broadly consistent with peers (WBC is 9.5%, NAB is 9.6% and ANZ is 9.8%).

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.