Commonwealth Bank of Australia and other lenders are toughening conditions on popular investment property loans in response to regulatory pressure to clamp down on interest-only products.
Lenders are also repricing many of their other products by offering selective discounts and targeting the most attractive sectors, rather than racing for volume with across-the-board cuts.
CBA, which flagged tougher lending conditions for interest-only borrowers back in July, is offering 10-year interest-only terms for borrowers that live in the dwelling. Those with an investment loan have up to 15 year’s interest only and principal and interest for the remainder of the term.
It’s good timing even if manifestly not enough from APRA. CBA and WBC have been leading a small revival in investors loans:
ANZ
CBA
MQG
NAB
WBC
BOQ
BEN
SUN
Aug-16
80605
133134
9051
98221
138350
11645
11024
11839
Jul-16
80859
132274
9137
97829
137514
11773
10915
11878
Jun-16
81305
131298
9191
97544
136918
11901
10865
11886
May-16
81713
129801
9197
97450
136070
11978
11546
11685
Apr-16
82073
128671
9215
97045
135754
12029
11478
11445
Mar-16
82270
128065
9220
96825
135712
11981
11370
11322
Feb-16
82469
127835
9221
96531
135351
11919
11243
11332
Jan-16
82656
127872
9257
96114
135471
11680
11229
11414
Dec-15
82766
128018
9269
95749
135279
11470
11258
11475
Nov-15
82722
127957
9311
95278
135372
11295
11280
11595
Oct-15
82718
128396
9253
94384
134938
11166
11292
11701
Sep-15
82911
129616
9264
94019
149687
11062
11266
11800
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But as UBS pointed out earlier this week, it’s all far too late:
The most significant findings of the survey were (1) Only 72% of respondents stated their application was “completely factual and accurate”. 21% stated they were “mostly factual and accurate”, 5% stated they were “partially factual and accurate” while 2% “would rather not say”; (2) 32% of respondents who secured a mortgage via a broker stated they misrepresented some element of their application, compared to 22% who secured a mortgage via bank distribution; (3) More concerning, 41% of respondents who used a broker in 2016 and misrepresented elements of their application stated they did so based on their broker’s suggestion (vs 13% for bank channel equivalent)…
Of the 344 respondents who stated they misrepresented parts of their application: 14% over-represented household income (18% of those who used brokers and 5% who used bank networks); 13% overstated other assets; 17% under-represented other financial liabilities; 26% under-represented living costs; 11% “other”; 31% “would rather not say”. 12% stated they misrepresented multiple factors.
Unfortunately survey results suggest misrepresentation is systemic with findings similar across the 2015 and 2016 Vintages, price to income levels, LVR, owner occupiers and investors. However, there was a correlation between borrowers who misrepresented their application and: those whose expenditure was broadly equal to their income; stated they are under financial stress; or have missed a debt payment…
Interestingly customers who come from NSW were more likely to misrepresent their mortgage applications. Notably this continues to be the most buoyant housing market in Australia. Customers from Queensland are more likely to be factually accurate.
Finally, the use of mortgages for investment purposes accelerated in 2016 contrary to the banks’, RBA and APRA’s data…
We believe this ties in with the ‘areas of less factual accuracy’ section above. This may suggest some customers were not factually accurate when stating the purpose of the loan, especially given the higher interest rate which has now been introduced on Investment Property compared to Owner Occupied mortgages.
What does this mean?
We believe these results are disturbing given: the recent housing market reacceleration; elevated household leverage (186% debt to income); and mortgages accounting for 62% of bank loans.
While banks have tightened underwriting following APRA’s ‘sound lending’ guidance, it does not appear to have prevented applicants ‘stretching the truth’. While low unemployment and rising house prices may help prevent losses near term, more rigorous auditing of applications appears essential, especially via brokers…
We believe it is more important than ever that the banks tighten their mortgage underwriting standards and ensure applications are factually accurate. We continue to see the mortgage broker network as a potential area of weakness in this process.
After what they did to the US housing market, these loans should simply have been banned.
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal.
He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.