Banks tighten again on interest-only mortgages

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From the AFR:

Commonwealth Bank of Australia and other lenders are toughening conditions on popular investment property loans in response to regulatory pressure to clamp down on interest-only products.

Lenders are also repricing many of their other products by offering selective discounts and targeting the most attractive sectors, rather than racing for volume with across-the-board cuts.

St George, Bank of Melbourne and BankSA have announced tougher terms for interest only borrowers in line with their parent Westpac’s recent decision to reduce the maximum allowable interest-only term for investment property loans to 10 years.

CBA, which flagged tougher lending conditions for interest-only borrowers back in July, is offering 10-year interest-only terms for borrowers that live in the dwelling. Those with an investment loan have up to 15 year’s interest only and principal and interest for the remainder of the term.

It’s good timing even if manifestly not enough from APRA. CBA and WBC have been leading a small revival in investors loans:

ANZ CBA MQG NAB WBC BOQ BEN SUN
Aug-16 80605 133134 9051 98221 138350 11645 11024 11839
Jul-16 80859 132274 9137 97829 137514 11773 10915 11878
Jun-16 81305 131298 9191 97544 136918 11901 10865 11886
May-16 81713 129801 9197 97450 136070 11978 11546 11685
Apr-16 82073 128671 9215 97045 135754 12029 11478 11445
Mar-16 82270 128065 9220 96825 135712 11981 11370 11322
Feb-16 82469 127835 9221 96531 135351 11919 11243 11332
Jan-16 82656 127872 9257 96114 135471 11680 11229 11414
Dec-15 82766 128018 9269 95749 135279 11470 11258 11475
Nov-15 82722 127957 9311 95278 135372 11295 11280 11595
Oct-15 82718 128396 9253 94384 134938 11166 11292 11701
Sep-15 82911 129616 9264 94019 149687 11062 11266 11800
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But as UBS pointed out earlier this week, it’s all far too late:

The most significant findings of the survey were (1) Only 72% of respondents stated their application was “completely factual and accurate”. 21% stated they were “mostly factual and accurate”, 5% stated they were “partially factual and accurate” while 2% “would rather not say”; (2) 32% of respondents who secured a mortgage via a broker stated they misrepresented some element of their application, compared to 22% who secured a mortgage via bank distribution; (3) More concerning, 41% of respondents who used a broker in 2016 and misrepresented elements of their application stated they did so based on their broker’s suggestion (vs 13% for bank channel equivalent)…

ScreenHunter_15321 Oct. 07 08.28

Of the 344 respondents who stated they misrepresented parts of their application: 14% over-represented household income (18% of those who used brokers and 5% who used bank networks); 13% overstated other assets; 17% under-represented other financial liabilities; 26% under-represented living costs; 11% “other”; 31% “would rather not say”. 12% stated they misrepresented multiple factors.

Unfortunately survey results suggest misrepresentation is systemic with findings similar across the 2015 and 2016 Vintages, price to income levels, LVR, owner occupiers and investors. However, there was a correlation between borrowers who misrepresented their application and: those whose expenditure was broadly equal to their income; stated they are under financial stress; or have missed a debt payment…

Interestingly customers who come from NSW were more likely to misrepresent their mortgage applications. Notably this continues to be the most buoyant housing market in Australia. Customers from Queensland are more likely to be factually accurate.

ScreenHunter_15322 Oct. 07 08.31

Finally, the use of mortgages for investment purposes accelerated in 2016 contrary to the banks’, RBA and APRA’s data…

ScreenHunter_15324 Oct. 07 08.35

We believe this ties in with the ‘areas of less factual accuracy’ section above. This may suggest some customers were not factually accurate when stating the purpose of the loan, especially given the higher interest rate which has now been introduced on Investment Property compared to Owner Occupied mortgages.

What does this mean?

We believe these results are disturbing given: the recent housing market reacceleration; elevated household leverage (186% debt to income); and mortgages accounting for 62% of bank loans.

ScreenHunter_15323 Oct. 07 08.34

While banks have tightened underwriting following APRA’s ‘sound lending’ guidance, it does not appear to have prevented applicants ‘stretching the truth’. While low unemployment and rising house prices may help prevent losses near term, more rigorous auditing of applications appears essential, especially via brokers…

We believe it is more important than ever that the banks tighten their mortgage underwriting standards and ensure applications are factually accurate. We continue to see the mortgage broker network as a potential area of weakness in this process.

After what they did to the US housing market, these loans should simply have been banned.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.