Yuan outflows persist, slow

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Cross-posted from Investing in Chinese Stocks.

The pace of yuan depreciation and reserve decline are both slowing. So far the PBoC is successful, but the PBoC has to be successful all the time because the trend is still against it.

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Bloomberg: China Reserves at Lowest Since 2011 as PBOC Supports Yuan

Outflows were probably concentrated in the last week of August as the yuan depreciated against the dollar, and policy makers will likely continue with measures to clamp down on capital outflows, said Donna Kwok, a senior China economist at UBS Group AG in Hong Kong.

“Outflow pressures are here to stay as domestic entities and households continue to diversify further into foreign assets, either for higher returns abroad, diversification desires or renminbi depreciation expectations,” Kwok said.

About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific's leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.
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