Australia’s China contradictions go global

From The Australian:

Australian diplomats warned the British government of national sec­urity risks from an “aggressive’’ China before Britain’s Prime Minister, Theresa May, last night imposed extra oversight conditions on Chinese investment in a new $30 billion nuclear power plant.

Australia’s top officials in London were summoned to 10 Downing Street more than a week ago to discuss Australia’s relationship with China and how the country diplomatically rejected the involvement of Chinese company Huawei in Australia’s broadband rollout in 2012 and last month’s decision to exclude China from a controlling stake in NSW electricity network Ausgrid. Both were rejected in Australia on the grounds of national security.

Australian high commissioner to Britain Alexander Downer was a former board member of ­Huawei Australia at the time the company was banned from working on the rollout of the ­National Broadband Network.

The Australian understands Mr Downer — who has relinquished ties to Huawei — told Mrs May and her advisers that China had become more aggressive in recent times.

Meanwhile, at home, the population debate descends into a Hanson farce, also from The Australian:

Nationals chief whip George Christensen has called on the government to restrict immigration from countries afflicted by high rates of Islamic radicalisation, prompting Labor’s Anthony Albanese to warn of “fringe elements” seizing greater influence in the government.

Mr Albanese, a leader of the ALP’s left faction, also accused the Greens of amplifying Pauline Hanson’s message with their staged walkout protest at the new senator’s maiden speech this week.

Mr Christensen, who has recently spearheaded backbench revolts on superannuation tax hikes and the Safe Schools program, last night used parliament to express concern about “the rise of Islamism in this country”.

“Many immigrants entering this country in recent years do not share our Australian values,” he told the chamber.

This is a sideshow. As Leith showed yesterday, the Sydney and Melbourne population ponzi projections are out of this world:

ScreenHunter_14932 Sep. 14 14.56

And the next chart plots New South Wales’ historical and projected population change:

ScreenHunter_14936 Sep. 14 15.05


The situation is even worse in Victoria:

ScreenHunter_14935 Sep. 14 15.05

This migrant boom will come from the emerging regional powers in China and India and will transform Australia’s two largest metropolitan centres into comprehensively Asian cities.

Let’s not kid ourselves that such a transformation won’t completely alter our strategic outlook. It will spell the end of ANZUS in anything but name as Australia finds security in Asia rather than from Asia.

That’s fine if we choose to go that way. It will mean Australia is a Chinese client state and will express its foreign policy via the Chinese sphere of influence. Whether it owns a few power stations or not will be irrelevant. The economy will simply be integrated with Chinese people and capital flows.

Yet here we are debating a few lousy Muslims at home and making dastardly whispers about the Chinese abroad. Go figure.

Houses and Holes
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  1. “That’s fine if we choose to go that way. It will mean Australia is a Chinese client state and will express its foreign policy via the Chinese sphere of influence” [SNIP]

    Speak for yourself [though I suspect this is rhetorical tool].

      • Agree. It would be like the political parties taking massive corporate donations from foreign owned companies that employ relatively few Australians and not being sensitive to their needs. Politicians with corporate donations are like junkies looking for a fix but also not wanting to get arrested. At least union funds actually come from residents and citizens (and the odd corporate wanting a trouble free project).

  2. I wonder what the firearm license and PTA growth rates are in Cat A, B and for those entitled, C/handguns, are at the moment.

    I wonder if the recently announced amnesty (not buy back) is coincidental or a bigger picture item [tin foil hat on? Or not.]

  3. Don’t hide behind weasel words. Australia is not a client state, it is a colony.

    The first generation colonisers (British) are just sussing out what strategic and financial assets they can retain while the third generation colonisers (Chinese) expand their influence and control. As a concept of a nation Australia has never been truly sovereign and the Australian culture is one of being mollycoddled by a bigger brother.

    This wave of colonisation won’t be stopped so you have the following options:

    1. Embrace it (pollies are CLEARLY already doing this)
    2. Fight it (Aussies are mostly docile and insouciant so won’t alter the course of colonialism)
    3. Leave (a minority will take this option)

  4. There is far too much absolutism in the China-US debate.

    Australia is a middle power. We are the 12th largest economy in the world with the 12th largest military expenditure. We have a highly advanced technology base, and a very competent workforce. We have an effective submarine force and are geographically located near the largest shipping lane in the world. We have substantial natural resources, but also an effective rule of law with only moderate levels of corruption.

    Why do we have to choose? The secret of middle power success (like the Netherlands in the 16th century or the US in the 18th century) is to always play all sides.

    Do you really think that the US will stop courting us if we don’t openly declare for them? Will China turn us away if we don’t declare for China? Of course not. The only time we would actually get into trouble is if we DO declare for one side or another.

    Conclusion: Australia should be the elusive hot girl or the Asia-Pacific and leave them all guessing.

  5. adelaide_economistMEMBER

    “The Australian understands Mr Downer — who has relinquished ties to Huawei — told Mrs May and her advisers that China had become more aggressive in recent times.”

    Let me guess. The aggression really picked up at exactly the same time he ‘relinquished’ ties to Huawei but there were absolutely no problems before then, right?

  6. My wife of 40 years had a Chinese grandfather, Australian born.
    He married an Australian, and all their 11 children were very Australian.
    Having had many Asian friends from my university days and onwards, and living half of the week in a unit building in Darling Harbour where 95% of residents are Asian,
    I feel that I have a pretty good idea of how things will work out.
    The first generation of Asian Australians are very Australian and do not inflict anyone with strong religious beliefs.
    Thankfully their leanings are pacifist (pacific), and like the majority of Australians, they have a strong work ethic.
    The fact that China will once again become the largest economy in the world, as it was during the Ming Dynasty(1368-1644), means that all countries will be influenced
    by China and having a large % of our country’s population Asian will not be any disadvantage to our future.

    • Like you, I have spent the better part of my adult life seeking stronger ties between Asia and Australia.

      But I’m not going to kid myself about it, our population strategy will render ANZUS moot. There’s no issue if you’re comfortable with that.

      My view is that because we don’t know what China will end up as – given it is currently authoritiarian – it’s best to hedge your bet.

      • I was a young substantive captain in our regular army 1974-1979.
        As the US seems intent on starting a war every year I think I’d feel more comfortable if we got rid of ANZUS.
        I don’t think China has been involved in a war since Korea.
        Half of Vietnam beat the US in the long Vietnam War.Perhaps we should form ANZ-V.

  7. Australian’s like the self-image of a scrappy kid punching well above his weight able to deliver a knockout punch if anyone steps out of line. Unfortunately they’ve simply never learned that the true art of diplomacy is to get the outcome you desire without ever needing to throw a punch. Ask informed citizens of any rich, yet neutral country, which side they back, if you do you’d better bring a packed lunch and be prepared for a long discussion because the answers just aren’t simply, and neither are the solutions.
    The first step towards a solution is to stop the asinine rhetoric, the second step intelligent debate…yea wtf am I talking about this is Australia…send in the subs.

      • I’m in Geneva at the moment and the people I’m working with all speak at least three languages (French, German, English), most of them also speak Italian and half of them speak pretty good Chinese or Japanese. Yep, Australians sure are the Swiss of Asia! On a side not, I’ve worked in plenty of places in Asia, the US and Europe and never seen as much money as I have here in Switzerland.

  8. What do you mean the migrant boom “will” transform Australia’s two largest cities into Asian cities? They already are!

    As my Vietnamese inlaws say, all professional jobs in Australia will be occupied by Asians in 15 years time.

  9. Yep.
    Why align with communists? Great human rights record btw.
    The truth is they operate in stealth with alterior motives. They rightfully believe we are thick and dumb and exploit our pissweak laws for self-serving purposes. They’ll buy up all property here, tear it down and with it, tear down heritage with it, leaving sweet fuck all in its place other than dog boxes. Now call that racist.
    Pollies get paid off to keep their traps shut.
    Average Aussies are clueless to what’s going on.
    Fuck this country.
    Australia deserves whatever is coming it’s way.
    Australia has no idea what its identity is other than as some would say, a prostitute to the highest bidder.

    Australian politicians some would say should be charged with treason for putting their local constituents last, and foreign interests first.

    This is the selling off and dilution of prosperity for local Australians to China.