Core Logic: Home values up 0.8% in July

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By Leith van Onselen

Core Logic’s dwelling price results are in for July, with a 0.77% rise in values recorded over the month at the 5-city level (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_14247 Jul. 31 14.56

It was the seventh substantive monthly rise in home values in a row (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_14243 Jul. 31 14.47
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Over the quarter, price growth was a hefty 2.91% at the 5-city level, although it was down from 3.87% last quarter (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_14244 Jul. 31 14.47

Over the quarter, values rose by an incredible 5.58% in Sydney, by 3.54% in Melbourne, and by 0.21% in Adelaide, whereas Perth dwellings fell by 4.30% and Brisbane’s fell by 0.41%.

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The next chart, which tracks trend annual price growth, shows that the big rebound in annual growth continues to reverse (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_14245 Jul. 31 14.51

Sydney has once again become the strongest housing market in Australia when measured in annual growth terms, edging out Melbourne (see next chart).

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ScreenHunter_14248 Jul. 31 14.57

And values are now 28.7% above the October 2010 peak at the 5-city level, driven almost entirely by massive growth in Sydney (+53.2%) and to a lesser extent Melbourne (+27.1%), with the other major capitals not doing a lot (down in real inflation-adjusted terms):

ScreenHunter_14249 Jul. 31 14.57
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Core Logic’s results continue to be at odds with the ABS housing finance data, which shows a weakening trend (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_14246 Jul. 31 14.54

Again, this suggests less credit chasing even fewer dwelling sales volumes and/or more cash sales (e.g. to foreign buyers).

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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.