Yuan fixes at another new low

Advertisement

As the world’s worries are elsewhere, down she goes:

tvc_692037ae48b050ba3e59a73b4f43ab02

We know that Chinese iron dropped 50mt or so at $40 last year. Now that price is -8.9% lower at $36.44.

The number one looming competitor for Aussie iron ore is not Brazil it’s China. Bloomie says it’s nearly over:

After its worst quarter on record, the yuan may finally be headed for a break.

The People’s Bank of China will hit the brakes on depreciation to avoid sparking global volatility and exacerbating capital outflows, according to Svenska Handelsbanken, the currency’s top forecaster. The case for an end to yuan weakness is supported by its impending entry into the International Monetary Fund’s reserves basket in October as well as a dovish Federal Reserve spurring dollar declines, says JPMorgan Asset Management.

“They will take a breather now and celebrate that they have managed to depreciate the yuan without creating too much noise and without creating too much capital outflows,” said Bjarke Roed-Frederiksen, a Copenhagen-based economist at Handelsbanken, the most accurate yuan forecaster tracked by Bloomberg over the last four quarters.

Advertisement

My answer is who cares? It may end for now. But it ain’t over!

About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific's leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.
Advertisement