Updated 1.50pm – 1 million votes in front for Leave
New, Brexit on track:
Markets charging the USD and all red:
Old, landslide building:
East Anglia University model gives Bremain zero probability:
03:00 Fifth forecast update
- Predicted probability of Britain Remaining: 0
- (81 of 382 areas reporting.)
- Predicted vote share for Remain: 47.1 percent.
- (90% prediction interval: 46.1 to 48.1 percent)
16.8 million wins it.