Mining capex has so much further to fall

Advertisement

By Leith van Onselen

The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) on Friday released its annual national accounts for the year ended June 2015, which revealed that Australian mining investment is around one-third of the way through its adjustment as it retraces from all-time highs, with the worst still to come (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_10077 Nov. 02 08.30

As shown in the above chart, Australia’s mining capex peaked at 7.5% of GDP in June 2013, and has fallen 1.9% to 5.6% of GDP as at June 2015.

The full text of this article is available to MacroBusiness subscribers

$1 for your first month, then:
Cancel at any time through our billing provider, Stripe
About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.