Pascometer screams bubble top for housing

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From the contrarian indicator The Pascometer today:

The de facto tightening is a negative, but this week’s NAB business confidence survey again told a story of business conditions actually remaining fairly good with employment intensions turning positive and capacity utilisation on the up.

As for signalling the end of the Sydney/Melbourne property boom: Um, maybe. Maybe not. There’s a lot more happening in that space than the $10-a-week impact on the average mortgage. Wherever property prices are heading, it’s not Westpac’s need to push up dividends that will be the big decider.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.