Stephen Roach: Oz in denial about China

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From the AFR comes the nearly always sensible Stephen Roach:

“For the nations that were banking on China staying the course of the old manufacturing commodity-intensive investment led growth model, I think there will be a lot of disappointment,” said Mr Roach, now a senior fellow at Yale University’s Jackson Institute of Global Affairs.

“The new growth dynamic is slower, services intensive and commodity-light rather than commodity heavy.”

“Australia is right on the leading edge of being in denial about what this shift means for China’s claim on global commodity markets.”

“It’s a double whammy for a country like Australia.”

Cue Mad Adam.

About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.