PBOC survey sees weak economy

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Cross-posted from Investing in Chinese Stocks.

From Business Times: China business confidence falls in Q2 vs Q1: Central bank survey here’s the entrepreneur survey results. The first column highlighted is their take on the macro economy: more negative. Although there’s some bounce in the numbers, they’re still in an overall downtrend.

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Source: 2015 年第二季度企业家问卷调查报告

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Banker’s survey. The bankers are more pessimistic than entrepreneurs, some of these numbers saw big drops including banking climate, profitability and monetary policy. Macro economic view remains negative.

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Source: 2015 年第二季度银行家问卷调查报告

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Consumer (depositors) survey. Consumers are more positive on prices, but a bit less optimistic about wages.

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Source: 2015 年第二季度城镇储户问卷调查报告

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Here’s the impact of the stock market rally. This is the question of whether the consumers are consuming more, saving more, or investing more. Investing spikes up.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.