TD monthly inflation bounces

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TD Securities’ monthly inflation rose 0.4% in March and 1.5% over the past year. The trimmed mean rose 1.6%. Annette Beacher said:

“While low inflation certainly allows the RBA to cut the cash rate further, we pencil in only one more cash rate reduction to 2 per cent in May, with risks of delay into the second half of the year, should the housing sector keep expanding at an uncomfortable pace”.

Fair enough but it won;t housing that determines the pace of cuts. It will iron ore and dollar.

About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.