RBA exonerates self of rates leak

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The Banana Republic rolls on. From the ABC:

The Reserve Bank appears to have been cleared of an internal leak after unusual trading in the Australian dollar seconds before two key interest rate decisions earlier this year.

The suspicious trading in February and March had been referred to the Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) given concerns about the security of board decisions and the potential to move markets.

A third incident of unusual trading before the cash rate decision in April has also been referred to ASIC.

The minutes from the RBA board’s most recent April meeting noted that members were briefed on the progress of the ASIC probe, but that the theory of a rogue insider leaking the information had been ruled out.

“Internal work since March has not identified any evidence of procedural lapses or conduct that could have led to the early release of relevant information,” the minutes read.

The RBA is now working on the theory that the unusual trades could have been caused by algorithmic or high speed trading that triggered other buying or selling in currency markets.

“Illiquid conditions that existed in the foreign exchange market at the time meant that small trades could move by relatively large amounts,” the minutes hypothesised.

“Once such movements occurred it would be highly likely that algorithmic trading strategies would exacerbate such movements.”

And another thing, there were no peculiarities around plastic oblongs with ink on them.

About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.