Spill spills

Breaking from the ABC:

West Australian Liberal MP Luke Simpkins has emailed party room colleagues to announce he will move a spill motion against the Prime Minister.

It will be seconded by MP Don Randall, with a third WA Liberal, Dennis Jensen, saying he will support the motion.

The ABC has been told the MPs called the Prime Minister shortly before sending the email.

In Mr Simpkins’ email he writes that: “In the last two weeks I have been inundated with emails and walk-ins to my Electorate Office all questioning the direction the Government is being led in.

“The knighthood issue was for many the final proof of a disconnection with the people.

“These contacts have come from many people that I personally know and are firm supporters – in some cases they are booth workers as well.

“The last time this outpouring of concern happened was when we were being led to support the Rudd Government’s ETS, and faced with this erosion of our base support we acted.

“I think that we must bring this to a head, and test the support of the leadership in the party room.

“As I have said in the past, I have no front bench ambitions. I just want to make sure that the economic vandals do not get back into power and our children and grandchildren are not left to pay Labor’s bill.  I do this because I believe it is in the best interests of the people of our country.”

Mr Simpkins says he has submitted a motion to the Government’s chief whip asking for the spill to be conducted via a secret ballot at Tuesday’s party room meeting.

Crikey’s Pollbludger sees declining fortunes for the Dead Duck:

According to the latest reading of the BludgerTrack poll aggregate featured on my blog The Poll Bludger, the Prime Minister’s flash of inspiration on Australia Day has so far inflicted 2% of damage to the Coalition’s already dismal two-party preferred rating, which probably understates the situation given that trend calculations take a while to catch up in the event of sudden change.

Even so, the modelled seat projection based on the results has Labor on 93 seats to just 52 for the Coalition, with nine seats having moved to the Labor column in just one week.

…This is illustrated by the chart below, showing the trend of two-party polling for the Gillard and Abbott governments following the respective election victories of August 21, 2010 and September 7, 2013.

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That’s my chart!

David Llewellyn-Smith
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Comments

    • It does have the virtue of being the most interesting period in Australian politics that i can recall.
      The rudd/gillard stoush was just ugly.and disgusting for purely selfish political reasons.
      For some reason i cant explain this one seems almost like a tussle for the heart of Australia. Where does the country want to go from here.

      • The Abbott/Turnbull stoush was just ugly.and disgusting for purely selfish political reasons.

        For some reason i cant explain the Rudd / Gillard seemed almost like a tussle for the heart of Australia.

        FTFY.

      • For some reason i cant explain this one seems almost like a tussle for the heart of Australia. Where does the country want to go from here.

        Based on people’s limited opportunities to offer direction thus far, I’d say a long, long way from where they see it headed.

      • Yeah I’m sick of super-right-wing lib supporters drawing a parallel.

        This is not the same as Rudd/Gillard/Rudd.

        This is about one of the worst prime ministers in history and how he’s damaging the country.

      • migtronixMEMBER

        This is about one of the worst prime ministers in history and how he’s damaging the country.

        So it IS about Rudd? What's wrong with you?!? They've been f#cking duds since Howard2

    • Whoever is in charge of music at these things should play Joy Division’s ‘Atrocity Exhibition’ as the party members enter the room.
      https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5AqeqAQ1ILI

      Asylums with doors open wide,
      Where people had paid to see inside,
      For entertainment they watch his body twist,
      Behind his eyes he says, ‘I still exist.’

      This is the way, step inside.
      This is the way, step inside…

      In arenas he kills for a prize,
      Wins a minute to add to his life.
      But the sickness is drowned by cries for more,
      Pray to God, make it quick, watch him fall.

      This is the way, step inside.
      This is the way, step inside…

      This is the way, step inside.
      This is the way, step inside…

      You’ll see the horrors of a faraway place,
      Meet the architects of law face to face.
      See mass murder on a scale you’ve never seen,
      And all the ones who try hard to succeed.

      This is the way, step inside.
      This is the way, step inside…

      And I picked on the whims of a thousand or more,
      Still pursuing the path that’s been buried for years,
      All the dead wood from jungles and cities on fire,
      Can’t replace or relate, can’t release or repair,
      Take my hand and I’ll show you what was and will be.

      • Nothing the ALP would like more than for Turnbull to lose and go to backbench as Abbott stumbles from one f*ck up to the next.

      • Almost every Liberal member polled has said they want him gone. Basically he has the backing of the Nationals.

        Speaks volumes.

        I would love Turnbull in the top job – he wont be able to duck the cronyism regarding the NBN and the total FCK UP that it is.

        It blows my mind people on here complain about MYKI – a system delivered and working – when $100BILLION is about to be flushed for 150 year old technology which will not last a decade.

      • As appealing as that is, you never want a prime minister to get elected just for being “the other guy”. Abbot got elected that way, and you can see where that got us.

        As much as the liberals should be kicked out, Shorten should still have to preset policies and be scrutinised.

      • @ Commenter2095

        I agree, but I do think people are being a bit harsh on Shorten. Opposition leaders rarely roll out fully fledged policies until about a year to an election. If they do it any earlier, the sitting government will just steal the policies if they are good.

    • How bout this?

      Spill motion.

      “Anyone? Anyone?”

      “Bueller? Bueller? (Malcolm, Malcolm)

      Pulls a Rudd, no challenge.

      Heads explode

  1. That the spill motion email / PR announcement specifically identifies the previous outcry from the “base” over the ETS as directly analogous to the Tories’ present dilemma, probably implies that all those here gleefully creaming themselves over the possibility of Malcolm “Our Saviour” / “The Member for Goldman Sachs” Turnbull acting to “save the planet” with reviving his (Goldman’s) ETS push, have likely been prematurely ejaculating.

    • That could also as easily have been a veiled reminder to MT that the ETS issue is a no-go zone if they give him the reins again.

      • Indeed. My point. Apparently the Nats have specifically insisted on any Turnbull-led Coalition signing off on *not* attempting to reintroduce an ETS policy.

      • Oh, I see.

        Yes, the Nats have said as much although I highly doubt they hold any relevance as to whether MT, should he take over as PM, brings the ETS back on the table. He can give that assurance because it’s political poison anyway.

      • migtronixMEMBER

        That’s it, f#ck it! They’re good odds, good enough to hire a few hitmen and still walk away with decent winnings….

    • He has a real fascination with vaginas this bloke doesn’t he…or is it hatred. Second time – or sorry, was it “grub” we were meant to believe he said.

  2. Americans have the Kardashians to keep themselves entertained, we on the other hand have this groundhog day theater..

    Main difference is that this actually impacts people’s lives. Imagine running a company like this. All involved would be fired

    Why can’t we have the Swiss model of government?? Please !!!!!!!!!!

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Politics_of_Switzerland

    What a sad state of affair we’re in..

      • This is not about board spills, it’s about looking after the best interest of shareholders, which in this case, it’s not happening. Companies that keep shafting their shareholders end up going bankrupt

  3. I still don’t buy that. It just doesn’t make much sense.

    For Turnbull, risks far outweigh potential reward. It’s not like he wants to be a PM for half a term only. Turnbull cannot afford to be seen to follow the ALP’s footsteps of knifing a sitting PM. If there is a leadership spill, many things can go wrong. For one, it will be too easy for his opponents to insinuate that Turnbull is in fact the mastermind of the spill, regardless of whether that is true or not.

    If Turnbull stays put, the LNP will lose the next election and Abbott will have no choice but to step down. Assuming the ALP keeps Shorten, who has lots of baggage but will remain ahead of Abbott in the polls nonetheless, it will be easy for Turnbull to beat Shorten in 2019.

    The situation will become tricky for Turnbull if the spill succeeds and Bishop stands.