A couple of polls late yesterday painted a bleak picture for Dead Duck Tony:
And from Roy Morgan:
ALP support rose to 56.5% (up 2%) on Australia Day weekend, well ahead of the L-NP 43.5% (down 2%) on a two-party preferred basis. If a Federal Election were held now the ALP would win easily according to this week’s Morgan Poll on voting intention conducted with an Australia-wide cross-section of 2,057 Australian electors aged 18+.
Primary support for the ALP rose to 39.5% (up 1%) now ahead of the L-NP 37.5% (down 1%). Support for the other parties shows The Greens at 12% (up 2.5%), Palmer United Party (PUP) 3% (up 1%) while Independents/ Others were down 3.5% to 8%.
Support for PUP is highest in Clive Palmer’s home State of Queensland (7%) – which faces a State Election this weekend and Western Australia (4%) with negligible support for PUP in other States.
Analysis by Gender
Analysis by Gender shows support is still higher for the ALP amongst women: ALP (59.5%, up 3.5%) cf. L-NP (40.5%, down 3.5%). Support is also higher amongst men for the ALP (54%, up 1%) compared to the L-NP (46%, down 1%).
Analysis by Age group
Analysis by Age group shows the ALP still with its strongest advantage among younger Australians. 18-24yr olds heavily favour the ALP 63.5% cf. L-NP 36.5%; 25-34yr olds also heavily favour the ALP 70.5% cf. L-NP 29.5%; 35-49yr olds favour the ALP 61% cf. L-NP 39%; 50-64yr olds ALP 54.5% cf. L-NP 45.5%; and those aged 65+ still favour the L-NP 60% cf. ALP 40%.
Analysis by States
The ALP maintains a two-party preferred lead in all Australian States except Western Australia. South Australia: ALP 66% cf. L-NP 34%; Tasmania: ALP 63.5% cf. L-NP 36.5%; Victoria: ALP 59.5% cf. L-NP 40.5%; New South Wales: ALP 58% cf. L-NP 42%; Queensland: ALP 50.5% cf. L-NP 49.5%, while the L-NP leads narrowly in Western Australia: L-NP 51% cf. ALP 49%.
And my own chart of first term PMs:
That’s Dead Duck Tony down there in the witch’s ditch. Meanwhile, more details of Murdoch machinations have come to light, from the AFR:
Tony Abbott dumped his senior communications adviser and overhauled his media team over Christmas after being lobbied directly over dinner by media mogul Rupert Murdoch.
…Similar criticisms were being made by columnists and editorials in the Murdoch press.
…It is also understood Mr Murdoch has been complaining to Mr Abbott in phone calls.
Mr Abbott was having none of it. He said Ms Credlin was not consulted on the decision, which was made last year and took several months to organise.
A PM hot line, nice! Is there going to be one for every Australian (sorry, every American)?
Poor old Dead Duck is getting reamed. Rupert has now taken his “sack Credlin” campaign public so it would be fatal to boot her now, which might have released a pressure valve on the PM for a short while.
Firing squad lining up.
