What’s killing FHBs?

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Cross-posted from Martin North’s DFA blog:

After I posted the results from the DFA household survey yesterday, I was asked by a number of readers if I could provide a state by state breakdown of the barriers. As the survey runs by post code, it was feasible to do this, and today I post the state results from the latest analysis.

To recap, first time buyers in the DFA survey are those who are actively seeking to acquire a property for the first time. Once they have obtained a property and settled in, they then migrate into one of our other property owning segments. You can readabout our segmentation here.

Turning to the results, we see that the price barrier is highest in NSW and WA, and lowest in QLD. It is also more difficult to find a place to buy in NSW and WA, whereas the barriers in SA are lower. We also see fear of unemployment is the most significant barrier in TAS and QLD, and is lowest in WA and NSW. We also found that first time buyers in WA were most concerned about the risk in interest rate rises.

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StateFTPDec2014

Finally, to reassure readers, at any one time DFA has 26,000 households in the survey, so the sample size is large enough to be statistically relevant. It is also worth noting the relative distribution of FTB in the ABS data, although they define first time buyers differently, namely those who have transacted for the first time, not those looking to buy, as we do.

FTBsByStateJuly2014
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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific's leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.
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