Abbott approval crashes into witch’s ditch

Prime Minister Abbott is taking a hammering in the polls. From The Australian:


TONY Abbott’s approval rating has dropped to a five-month low and Labor continues to hold a substantial two-party-preferred lead over the Coalition, despite the Prime Minister yesterday insisting this year had been one of “very considerable achievement” by his government.

The latest Newspoll, conducted exclusively for The Australian at the weekend, shows the government and the opposition are tied on a primary vote of 37 per cent. Bill Shorten retained his lead as better prime minister, as satisfaction with Mr Abbott’s performance fell for the fourth consecutive survey.

Mr Abbott’s stocks fell three points to 33 per cent in the past fortnight and tumbled by eight points since reaching a high mark of 41 per cent in mid-September when there was strong support for his handling of foreign affairs issues including his response to the downing of Malaysia Airlines flight MH17.

The Prime Minister yesterday admitted his government last week appeared “ragged” as he conceded ground on defence ­entitlements and admitted ABC and SBS cuts were “at odds” with his election promise.

The worst news here for the PM is that Holt St has decided to headline with his approval crash instead of the slight improvement in two-party preferred. Clearly the loon pond is displeased and verging on agitation for leadership change.

Roy Morgan is out too:


Federal L-NP support rose to 46.5% (up 2%), but was still well behind the ALP 53.5% (down 2%) on a two-party preferred basis as the ALP defeated the L-NP in the Victorian State Election. If a Federal Election were held now the ALP would win easily according to this week’s Morgan Poll on voting intention conducted with an Australia-wide cross-section of 2,883 Australian electors aged 18+ over the last two weekends.

In Victoria, Federal voting intention shows the ALP (56%) leads the L-NP (44%) – a far larger two-party preferred lead for the ALP than how Victorians voted at the weekend State Election. Today, with only 61.9% of the Victoria vote counted, the ALP (50.9%) has a narrow estimated two-party preferred lead over the L-NP (49.1%). When vote counting has finished the final result will be much closer to 50% cf. 50% as predicted by the final Victorian SMS Morgan Poll last week.

Primary support for the Federal L-NP was up 1% to 39% while ALP support fell 1% to 37.5%. Support for the other parties shows The Greens at 12% (unchanged), Palmer United Party (PUP) 2% (down 0.5%) – the lowest recorded since prior to the Federal Election last year, while Independents/ Others were up 0.5% to 9.5%.

Support for PUP is highest in Queensland (4%) and Western Australia (4%) followed by Tasmania (2.5%), Victoria (1.5%), New South Wales (1%) and South Australia (0.5%).

Analysis by Gender

Analysis by Gender shows support is far higher for the ALP amongst women despite a fall: ALP (57%, down 0.5%) cf. L-NP (43%, up 0.5%). However, support is now level amongst men for the ALP (50%, down 3%) compared to the L-NP (50%, up 3%).

My own preferred chart shows the PM still trailing Julia Gillard in the witch’s ditch (though JG was about to resume her sink):

Houses and Holes
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  1. The institute of public affairs, Hancock mining, minerals council and news corp have spend billions getting their man into the top job. And if they care to look at the history tony Abbott at Sydney university, he is not going to leave that position of pm quietly and with some grace.

    • Ronin8317MEMBER

      The case of a Pime Minister leaving for the good of the party is rare : they always need to be pushed out.

    • the next 6 months are going to be quite profitable for whichever company has the repair contract at parliament house

      • I notice that Kennett et al. are all out agitating for changed senate election rules to wash away the scourge of the non-duopoly.

    • I’m sure many a great mind has agonised on the subject of how to break the duopoly and being about true choice and fairness. About as many as are dead set on opposing that. It is the latter who hold all the strings unfortunately.

      • “Next time you vote on a forced preference ballot, that last sentence will be ringing in your ears.”

        I was rather pleased to finally figure out that I only had to number a minimum of 5 boxes on the Victorian Legislative Council ballot.

    • I’m only an observer of Australian Elections. I am a voter in a proportional representation democracy myself. I have seen first hand though the interesting permutations of the same voting system as Australia in such places as Zimbabwe where is also serves the ruling elites very well to remove any form of choice from the people. They simply point to the UK, US and even Australia and say, “how are you any different?”

  2. Clearly the loon pond is displeased and verging on agitation for leadership change.

    Yeah, its striking how they’ve turned against him in the last week. Even our resident loon — 3d1k — described Abbott as “terminal” recently.

    I think they know they’re gone without a change.

  3. Sir Tony of Loon Land, seems to think he can emulate the howard come back from low approval ratings.
    Except for howard being somewhat smarter than abbot. Howard was quite happy to dump unpopular polices to get ahead, and abbot does not seem to understand that. He seems to think if he just stays the course and bullheaded it will all come good.

    The fact is i imagine there are members of the liberals and their cheer squad of Bolt and Jones who are seeing the libs destroyed and in opposition for a generation of rebuilding after one term of tony abbot and his traveling morons.

    If i was abbot i would be keeping a close eye on who bishop is having meetings and dinner with these days.