Housing Finance misses

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Fresh from the Numberwang comes August Housing Finance which handily missed expectations of .2% growth at -.9%:

AUGUST KEY FIGURES

Trend estimates
Seasonally adjusted estimates
Aug 2014
Jul 2014 to Aug 2014
Aug 2014
Jul 2014 to Aug 2014

Value of dwelling commitments(a)(b)


$m
% change
$m
% change
Total dwellings
28 067
0.3
28 006
-1.2
Owner occupied housing
16 820
-0.1
16 631
-2.0
Investment housing – fixed loans(c)
11 247
0.9
11 375
-0.1

Number of dwelling commitments(a)(b)


no.
% change
no.
% change
Owner occupied housing
51 967
-0.2
51 787
-0.9
Construction of dwellings
6 149
-0.2
6 096
-0.8
Purchase of new dwellings
2 918
1.7
2 952
2.5
Purchase of established dwellings
42 900
-0.3
42 739
-1.1

(a) Includes refinancing (see Glossary).
(b) Excludes alterations and additions.
(c) Excludes revolving credit.

AUGUST KEY POINTS

VALUE OF DWELLING COMMITMENTS

August 2014 compared with July 2014:

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  • The trend estimate for the total value of dwelling finance commitments excluding alterations and additions rose 0.3%. Investment housing commitments rose 0.9% while owner occupied housing commitments fell 0.1%.
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  • Australia-investment-in-property-graph-10-October-2014
  • In seasonally adjusted terms, the total value of dwelling finance commitments excluding alterations and additions fell 1.2%.

NUMBER OF DWELLING COMMITMENTS

August 2014 compared with July 2014:

  • In trend terms, the number of commitments for owner occupied housing finance fell 0.2% in August 2014.
  • In trend terms, the number of commitments for the purchase of established dwellings fell 0.3% and the number of commitments for the construction of dwellings fell 0.2%, while the number of commitments for the purchase of new dwellings rose 1.7%.
  • In original terms, the number of first home buyer commitments as a percentage of total owner occupied housing finance commitments fell to 11.8% in August 2014 from 12.2% in July 2014.
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Definitely looking toppy. Hit the bid, peeps. Leith returns Monday with much better charts!

About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific's leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.
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