BDO retail index down sharply

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For those that don’t know, BDO operates a fast data retail index based upon same store sales at a number of their clients outlets week-on-week. Last week was a bit of a shocker:

bdo

It actually appears to be a pretty useful leading indicator for ABS retail sales with the H2 2013 stall, post election rebound and fade all apparent. So is the Budget hit and May/June 2014 sales struggle (definitely weaker than last year). This past week’s dive is, I suspect, school holiday related.

About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.