Weekly RP Data Australian house price update

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ScreenHunter_07 Mar. 20 20.55

By Leith van Onselen

In the week ended 26 June 2014, the RP Data-Rismark 5-city daily dwelling price index, which covers the five major capital city markets, rose by 0.83%. It was the second consecutive week of rises (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_3002 Jun. 27 07.44

The growth nationally was driven by strong rises in Sydney and Melbourne, which more than offset relative weakness elsewhere (see next chart).

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ScreenHunter_3003 Jun. 27 07.45

Values are now up 0.95% in June, with gains experienced across all major markets except Adelaide (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_3004 Jun. 27 07.47
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Values are now up by 2.87% so far in 2014, with all major capitals experiencing growth, although growth in Perth has been weak (see next chart):

ScreenHunter_3005 Jun. 27 07.49

Over the past 12 months, home values have risen by 10.20% at the 5-city level, led by Sydney and Melbourne (see next chart).

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ScreenHunter_3006 Jun. 27 07.51

The next chart plots the daily movements on a 14-day moving average, in order to smooth volatility. As you can see, values are beginning to recover after May’s seasonal weakness (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_3007 Jun. 27 07.52
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Values are now up 6.6% since the 2010 peak at the 5-city level, driven primarily by strong gains in Sydney, with Perth and Melbourne values also up, but Brisbane and Adelaide in negative territory (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_3008 Jun. 27 07.53

However, major capital home values have now gained 15.1% since bottoming nationally in May 2012, with all capitals rebounding from their respective troughs (see next chart).

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ScreenHunter_3009 Jun. 27 07.55

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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.