Coal slump to hit rail operators

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ScreenHunter_2813 Jun. 10 11.13

By Leith van Onselen

From The AFR today comes a report that rail freight operator, Asciano, has been approached by coal miner, Anglo Australia, to renegotiate its rail contracts amid a sharp fall in the price of coking coal, which has seen some of its mines run at a loss and unable to temper production due to the fixed costs embedded in such contracts:

Asciano chief John Mullen said the company has held “positive and fruitful discussions with a number of important customers” about the take-or-pay contracts, which are proving a millstone around the necks of miners battling dramatically lower coal prices.

Take-or-pay contracts require a miner to pay for rail capacity even if they don’t use it, and makes it difficult for miners to reduce production even as prices falls…

For some miners, the cost associated with take or pay contracts for port and rail capacity makes it more economical to keep a mine running than close it.

As noted earlier this morning, Aussie miners are coming under increasing pressure to slash operating costs amid sharp falls in the price of Australia’s two biggest commodity exports – iron ore and coal. This will likely see pressure applied to all parties in the supply chain – from mine workers to logistics – which alongside the expected sharp falls in mining investment, will adversely impact both employment and incomes across Australia’s mining communities.

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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.