Weekly RP Data Australian house price update

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ScreenHunter_07 Mar. 20 20.55

By Leith van Onselen

In the week ended 8 May 2014, the RP Data-Rismark 5-city daily dwelling price index, which covers the five major capital city markets, rose by 0.02%. It was the first weekly rise in values in three weeks (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_2339 May. 08 16.03

Values rose in two major capitals and fell in three (see next chart).

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ScreenHunter_2340 May. 08 16.05

Values are up 0.10% so far in May, with values rising in three major capitals and falling in two (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_2341 May. 08 16.06
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Values are now up 3.99% so far in 2014, driven by big gains in Sydney, Melbourne and Adelaide:

ScreenHunter_2342 May. 08 16.07

Over the past 12 months, home values have risen by 11.17% at the 5-city level, led by Sydney and Melbourne (see next chart).

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ScreenHunter_2343 May. 08 16.08

The next chart plots the daily movements on a 14-day moving average, in order to smooth volatility. As you can see, the uptrend continues, driven by exceptionally strong gains in Sydney (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_2344 May. 08 16.09
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Values are up 7.8% since the 2010 peak at the 5-city level, driven primarily by strong gains in Sydney, with Perth, Melbourne and Adelaide values also up but Brisbane still in negative territory (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_2345 May. 08 16.10

However, major capital home values have now gained 16.4% since bottoming nationally in May 2012, with all capitals rebounding from their respective troughs (see next chart).

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ScreenHunter_2346 May. 08 16.11

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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.