RP Data weekly Australian house price update

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ScreenHunter_07 Mar. 20 20.55

By Leith van Onselen

In the week ended 22 May 2014, the RP Data-Rismark 5-city daily dwelling price index, which covers the five major capital city markets, fell by 0.70%, which follows last week’s 0.68% fall (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_2540 May. 22 15.35
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Values fell in all major capitals (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_2541 May. 22 15.37

Values are down 1.27% so far in May, with values falling in all major capitals (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_2542 May. 22 15.38
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Values are now up by 2.57% so far in 2014, driven by solid gains in Sydney, Melbourne and Adelaide, with Perth under water:

ScreenHunter_2543 May. 22 15.39

Over the past 12 months, home values have risen by 10.89% at the 5-city level, led by Sydney and Melbourne (see next chart).

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ScreenHunter_2544 May. 22 15.40

The next chart plots the daily movements on a 14-day moving average, in order to smooth volatility. As you can see, the uptrend has stalled, driven by weakness across all major markets (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_2545 May. 22 15.42
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Values are up 6.3% since the 2010 peak at the 5-city level, driven primarily by strong gains in Sydney, with Melbourne and Perth values also up, but Brisbane and Adelaide in negative territory (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_2546 May. 22 15.46

However, major capital home values have now gained 14.8% since bottoming nationally in May 2012, with all capitals rebounding from their respective troughs (see next chart).

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ScreenHunter_2547 May. 22 15.47

unconventionaleconomist@hotmail.com

www.twitter.com/Leithvo

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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.
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