RP Data weekly Australian house price update

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ScreenHunter_07 Mar. 20 20.55

By Leith van Onselen

In the week ended 15 May 2014, the RP Data-Rismark 5-city daily dwelling price index, which covers the five major capital city markets, fell by 0.68% (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_2458 May. 16 06.58

Values fell in all major capitals (see next chart).

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ScreenHunter_2459 May. 16 06.59

Values are down 0.57% so far in May, with values falling in four major capitals and rising in one (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_2460 May. 16 07.00

Values are now up 3.29% so far in 2014, driven by solid gains in Sydney, Melbourne and Adelaide, with Perth under water:

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ScreenHunter_2462 May. 16 07.03

Over the past 12 months, home values have risen by 10.80% at the 5-city level, led by Sydney and Melbourne (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_2463 May. 16 07.04
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The next chart plots the daily movements on a 14-day moving average, in order to smooth volatility. As you can see, the uptrend continues, driven by exceptionally strong gains in Sydney, although the trend there is weakening (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_2464 May. 16 07.05

Values are up 7.0% since the 2010 peak at the 5-city level, driven primarily by strong gains in Sydney, with Perth, Melbourne and Adelaide values also up, but Brisbane still in negative territory (see next chart).

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ScreenHunter_2465 May. 16 07.06

However, major capital home values have now gained 15.6% since bottoming nationally in May 2012, with all capitals rebounding from their respective troughs (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_2466 May. 16 07.07
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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.