RP Data weekly Australian house price update

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ScreenHunter_07 Mar. 20 20.55

By Leith van Onselen

In the week ended 17 April 2014, the RP Data-Rismark 5-city daily dwelling price index, which covers the five major capital city markets, rose by 0.37%. It was the seventh consecutive weekly rise in values (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_2103 Apr. 17 10.16

Values rose in four major capitals and fell in one (see next chart).

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ScreenHunter_2104 Apr. 17 10.18

Values are up 0.55% so far in April, again with values rising in four major capitals and falling in one (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_2105 Apr. 17 10.19
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Values are now up 4.12% so far in 2014, driven by big gains in Sydney and Melbourne, with Perth values falling:

ScreenHunter_2106 Apr. 17 10.21

Over the past 12 months, home values have risen by 11.64% at the 5-city level, again led by Sydney and Melbourne (see next chart).

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ScreenHunter_2107 Apr. 17 10.22

The next chart plots the daily movements on a 14-day moving average, in order to smooth volatility. As you can see, the uptrend continues, driven by exceptionally strong gains in Sydney (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_2108 Apr. 17 10.24
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Values are up 7.9% since the 2010 peak at the 5-city level, driven primarily by strong gains in Sydney, with Perth and Melbourne values also up but the other major markets still in negative territory (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_2109 Apr. 17 10.26

However, major capital home values have now gained 16.5% since bottoming nationally in May 2012, with all capitals rebounding from their respective troughs (see next chart).

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ScreenHunter_2110 Apr. 17 10.26

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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.