Weekly RP Data Australian house price update

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ScreenHunter_07 Mar. 20 20.55

By Leith van Onselen

In the week ended 20 March 2014, the RP Data-Rismark 5-city daily dwelling price index, which covers the five major capital city markets, rose by 0.42%. It was the third consecutive weekly rise in values (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_1767 Mar. 20 18.30
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Values rose in all major capitals, except Perth (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_1768 Mar. 20 18.31

Values are up 1.97% so far in March, with all capitals, except Perth, experiencing strong rises:

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ScreenHunter_1769 Mar. 20 18.32

Values are up 3.23% so far in 2014, driven by big gains in Melbourne and Sydney, with Perth values falling:

ScreenHunter_1771 Mar. 20 18.34
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Over the past 12 months, home values have risen by 10.66% at the 5-city level, again led by Sydney and Melbourne (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_1770 Mar. 20 18.33

The next chart plots the daily movements on a 14-day moving average, in order to smooth volatility. As you can see, the uptrend continues, driven once again by strong gains in Sydney and Melbourne (see next chart).

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ScreenHunter_1772 Mar. 20 18.35

Values are up 7.0% since the 2010 peak at the 5-city level, driven primarily by strong gains in Sydney, with Perth and Melbourne values also up but the other major markets still in negative territory (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_1773 Mar. 20 18.36
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However, major capital home values have now gained 15.5% since bottoming nationally in May 2012, with all capitals rebounding from their respective troughs (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_1774 Mar. 20 18.37

unconventionaleconomist@hotmail.com

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www.twitter.com/Leithvo

About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.
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