RP Data weekly Australian house price update

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ScreenHunter_07 Mar. 20 20.55

By Leith van Onselen

In the week ended 13 February 2014, the RP Data-Rismark 5-city daily dwelling price index, which covers the five major capital city markets, rose by 0.17% (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_1236 Feb. 13 16.50

Values rose in two of the major capitals and fell in three (see next chart).

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ScreenHunter_1235 Feb. 13 16.18

Values are essentially flat so far in February, but with marked variance across the major markets:

ScreenHunter_1237 Feb. 13 16.52
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Values are up 1.22% so far in 2014, driven by big gains in Melbourne and Sydney:

ScreenHunter_1238 Feb. 13 16.54

Over the past 12 months, home values have risen by 10.12% at the 5-city level, led by Sydney and Melbourne (see next chart).

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ScreenHunter_1239 Feb. 13 16.55

The next chart plots the daily movements on a 14-day moving average, in order to smooth volatility. As you can see, the uptrend continues, driven primarily by strong gains in Sydney, and to a lesser extent Melbourne (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_1240 Feb. 13 16.56
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Values are up 4.9% since the 2010 peak at the 5-city level, driven primarily by strong gains in Sydney, with Perth and Melbourne values also up but the other major markets still in negative territory (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_1241 Feb. 13 16.57

However, major capital home values have now gained 13.3% since bottoming nationally in May 2012, with all capitals rebounding from their respective troughs (see next chart).

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ScreenHunter_1242 Feb. 13 16.58

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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.