RP Data weekly Australian house price update

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ScreenHunter_07 Mar. 20 20.55

By Leith van Onselen

In the week ended 20 February 2014, the RP Data-Rismark 5-city daily dwelling price index, which covers the five major capital city markets, rose by 0.18%. It was the second consecutive weekly increase in values (see next chart).

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Values rose in three of the major capitals and fell in two (see next chart).

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ScreenHunter_1348 Feb. 21 07.52

Values are up 0.19% so far in February, but with marked variance across the major markets:

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Values are up 1.40% so far in 2014, driven by big gains in Melbourne and Sydney:

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Over the past 12 months, home values have risen by 10.31% at the 5-city level, led by Sydney and Melbourne (see next chart).

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The next chart plots the daily movements on a 14-day moving average, in order to smooth volatility. As you can see, the uptrend continues, driven primarily by strong gains in Sydney, and to a lesser extent Melbourne (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_1352 Feb. 21 07.56
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Values are up 5.1% since the 2010 peak at the 5-city level, driven primarily by strong gains in Sydney, with Perth and Melbourne values also up but the other major markets still in negative territory (see next chart).

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However, major capital home values have now gained 13.5% since bottoming nationally in May 2012, with all capitals rebounding from their respective troughs (see next chart).

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ScreenHunter_1354 Feb. 21 07.58

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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.