Did the Australian dollar just twig to no rate rises?

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The Australian dollar rose initially on the SoMP’s revised forecasts but has since shed half a cent as traders realise it was actually pretty dovish with no imminent rate hikes and a framework that sets up looking through temporary tradable inflation:

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Maybe I’ve just got confirmation bias…

About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific's leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.
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