Roy Morgan: Labor back in front

I would not normally be bothering with polls at this time in the election cycle but with a likely second round election for six WA Senate seats, which will determine control of the upper house, we should keep abreast. Fresh from Roy Morgan:

Morgan Poll on Federal Voting Intention - December 2, 2013

On a two-party preferred basis the ALP is 51.5%, up 2.5% since the Morgan Poll of November 16/17, 2013. L-NP support is 48.5%, down 2.5%. If an election were held now the result would be a narrow ALP victory according to the Morgan Poll. This multi-mode Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted last weekend (November 30/December 1, 2013) with an Australia-wide cross-section of 2,018 Australian electors aged 18+.

The L-NP primary vote is 41.5% (down 1%) now just ahead of the ALP primary vote at 38.5% (up 6%).

Among the minor parties Greens support is 8.5% (down 2.5%), support for the Palmer United Party (PUP) is 3.5% (down 1.5%) and support for Independents/Others is 8% (down 1%). Support for PUP is still highest in Clive Palmer’s home State of Queensland (7%).

Houses and Holes


  1. What I take out of this (which isnt a lot) is that voters who sent protest votes away from Labor are now regretting voting for the the smaller parties/donkey votes.

    LNP voters are laregly unchanged, which you’d expect so close since to the election.

    Just goes to show that LNP didnt win this election, it was Labor that lost it.

  2. This is not good news.

    Tiny or negative margins are fertile ground for rent-seekers.

    No room for hard decisions on economic reform here.

    Be prepared for more of the popularist rubbish from Mr Jelly Back. 3 more yrs of poll watching, middle class welfare, rent-seeking extortion and debt fuelled stupidity.

    Our only hope is that things get so bad that MT rolls TA and has a big enough margin to tackle reform.

    • interested party

      “Be prepared for more of the popularist rubbish from Mr Jelly Back. 3 more yrs of poll watching, middle class welfare, rent-seeking extortion and debt fuelled stupidity.”
      Yep, business as usual.

    • Abbott had a fat comfortable margin and he’s still danced a merry dance for the rent seekers. It’s not the margin that’s the issue, it’s the intestinal fortitude of those manning the posts.

    • Jumping jack flash

      I would be utterly surprised if anyone else would be any different.

      We have entered a new normal for Australian politics, started by Howard, who implemented the “do practically nothing and keep everyone happy with popularist policy and pork barrels” policy. All modern politicians on both sides now aspire to this elite level of governance.

      Its win/win: The pollies do practically nothing which gives them plenty of time to do whatever it is that they do between election years…

      And the lobbies and the people are happy with their rubber-stamped proposals and wads of cash.

  3. Our electorate has to be one of the biggest jokes ever. Totally incompetent. Who could really claim they didn’t see Abbott and his idiocy coming?

    Anyway, I hope he continues to blunder and punish the nation. What else is going to bring house prices down? lol

  4. If they’re polling like this in two and a half years time I suggest they’ll be in a spot of bother.