Roy Morgan: Labor back in front

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I would not normally be bothering with polls at this time in the election cycle but with a likely second round election for six WA Senate seats, which will determine control of the upper house, we should keep abreast. Fresh from Roy Morgan:

Morgan Poll on Federal Voting Intention - December 2, 2013

On a two-party preferred basis the ALP is 51.5%, up 2.5% since the Morgan Poll of November 16/17, 2013. L-NP support is 48.5%, down 2.5%. If an election were held now the result would be a narrow ALP victory according to the Morgan Poll. This multi-mode Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted last weekend (November 30/December 1, 2013) with an Australia-wide cross-section of 2,018 Australian electors aged 18+.

The L-NP primary vote is 41.5% (down 1%) now just ahead of the ALP primary vote at 38.5% (up 6%).

Among the minor parties Greens support is 8.5% (down 2.5%), support for the Palmer United Party (PUP) is 3.5% (down 1.5%) and support for Independents/Others is 8% (down 1%). Support for PUP is still highest in Clive Palmer’s home State of Queensland (7%).

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.