S&P threatens banks with downgrade

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Downgrade

From Banking Day:

Any inference that there may be less explicit government support for banks in a crisis may warrant a cut in the long-term credit rating of five banks, Standard & Poor’s believes.

In a report on “Australia’s Developing Crisis-Management Framework”, S&P pointed to a “hypothetical rating impact” should the “government’s willingness to support banks” be lowered to “supportive”, under S&P’s assessment, from “highly supportive”.

The scenario arises in the context of what S&P calls “contingency plans for domestic, systemically important financial institutions in Australia.”

This appears to be a reference to some of ARPA’s planned “bail in” provisions that would see some creditors have to wait to be paid, which is, of course, entirely appropriate. If a downgrade is the price of giving the market back some risk then so be it.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.