Retail sales rebound

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ScreenHunter_02 May. 25 22.30

By Leith van Onselen

The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) has just released retail sales figures for the month of September, which registered a 0.8% seasonally-adjusted increase in sales over the month versus an expected 0.3% rise. Annual sales growth clocked in at 2.9%:

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Monthly retail sales rose in all states, except Western Australia, where sales growth has clearly weakened:

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All components registered positive sales growth in September, with the exception of household goods retailing, where the value of sales fell:

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You can see from the next chart that the pick-up in sales has been driven by discretionary retail, where growth has picked-up from depressed levels, although it remains below non-discretionary (food) retailing:

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Overall, the pick-up in discretionary retail sales suggests that consumers might be unlocking their purse strings, which is a welcome sign for the industry in the lead-up to Christmas. It will be interesting to see how much of this bounce is a snap back following the election malaise.

unconventionaleconomist@hotmail.com

www.twitter.com/Leithvo

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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.
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