Weekly RP Data Australian house price update

Advertisement
ScreenHunter_19 Mar. 13 13.12

By Leith van Onselen

In the week ended 19 September 2013, the RP Data-Rismark 5-city daily dwelling price index, which covers the five major capital city markets, recorded a 0.80% rise, which was the fourth consecutive weekly increase (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_42 Sep. 19 16.40

Values rose in all major capitals except Perth and Brisbane (see next chart).

Advertisement
ScreenHunter_43 Sep. 19 16.41

Values are up 0.62% so far in September, with all major capitals except Perth recording rises (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_44 Sep. 19 16.42
Advertisement

Since the end of last year, home values have risen by 6.26% at the 5-city level, with all markets experiencing gains (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_45 Sep. 19 16.43

Over the past 12 months, values have risen by 5.73% at the 5-city level, with all major markets except Adelaide,eperiencing increases (see next chart).

Advertisement
ScreenHunter_46 Sep. 19 16.45

The next chart plots the daily movements on a 14-day moving average, in order to smooth volatility. As you can see, the uptrend continues, driven primarily by strong gains in Sydney, Perth, and Melbourne (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_47 Sep. 19 16.47
Advertisement

Values are now up 0.2% since their 2010 peak at the 5-city level, but with all major capitals except Sydney in negative territory (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_48 Sep. 19 16.49

Major capital home values have now gained 8.2% since bottoming nationally in May 2012, with all capitals rebounding from their respective troughs (see next chart).

Advertisement
ScreenHunter_49 Sep. 19 16.52

Note: readers are advised not to read too much into short-term movements in the RP Data daily index. This index is volatile and not seasonally adjusted, hence it can give false readings when interpreted over a shorter-term timeframe. There is also evidence suggesting the RP Data daily index is a lagging indicator for the quarterly ABS house price series (see here). Caveat emptor.

[email protected]

www.twitter.com/Leithvo

About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.