Australian dollar breaking out?

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As noted yesterday, the Australian dollar appeared poised for more convincing reversal than it has managed in recent months and today it continues to rise off its double bottom:

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93 cents looks like resistance before any push higher. This afternoon’s China data might be a catalyst and certainly the media seems to think it’s going to be awesome. I’m more circumspect. The last year or so has seen fairly minor moves in Chinese data even if markets have greatly exaggerated them. I expect a modest improvement only.

About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.