Abbott misses the housing, manufacturing nexus

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Prime Minister Tony Abbott was asked this morning if he thought Australia had a housing bubble. He answered:

‘‘I don’t think any one should rush to the conclusion that there is too much exuberance in our economy at this time,’’ he said.

‘‘If anything, we could see a little more exuberance in many sectors of the economy, particularly manufacturing.’’

Memo to Tony. You can’t have one with the other, mate. If you want to repair manufacturing, then limit the fiscal, tax and market distortions around housing. It is these that make house prices bubble up when interest rates fall. If house prices remained contained, the dollar would be tumbling and manufacturing rising as foreign demand poured in.

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It’s going to have to happen anyway. Do you want us to hollow out further first or control it?

About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.