Chinese inflation steadies

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ScreenHunter_02 Aug. 22 10.45

By Leith van Onselen

Chinese inflation data for July has just been released, with consumer prices remaining steady at a 2.7% annualised rate and the decline in producer prices moderating to -2.2% annualised from -2.6% in June:

ScreenHunter_12 Aug. 09 12.46
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The consumer inflation rate is well below the government’s official full-year target of 3.5%, raising the prospect that Chinese authorities could cut interest rates. The result also missed analysts’ expectations, who had tipped prices to to rise in July compared to a year ago due to rising pork and vegetable prices.

While producer prices fell for the 17th consecutive month – the longest stretch of wholesale price deflation in a decade – the result represented a significant improvement, suggesting that overcapacity might be easing.

unconventionaleconomist@hotmail.com

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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.
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