RP Data July housing market update

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By Leith van Onselen

Please find above RP Data’s latest housing market update, which is presented by Tim Lawless and covers housing market conditions as at end-June 2013.

Overall, Lawless sees the Australian housing market continuing along the path to recovery, with dwelling values likely to increase at around the rate of income growth.

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Below are the key charts from the video.

First, dwelling value growth was fairly weak and two-speed over the June quarter (which tends to be seasonally weak):

ScreenHunter_01 Jul. 09 08.11

But solid over the year:

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ScreenHunter_02 Jul. 09 08.12

Most metrics have improved markedly, with the time taken to sell a home and auction clearance rates tracking around mid-2010 levels, whereas transaction volumes are well up on last year:

ScreenHunter_03 Jul. 09 08.12
ScreenHunter_04 Jul. 09 08.13
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ScreenHunter_06 Jul. 09 08.14

Stock levels are down on last year, but remain elevated overall:

ScreenHunter_05 Jul. 09 08.14
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And the recovery is weak compared with the post-GFC episode:

ScreenHunter_08 Jul. 09 08.17

Mostly because there is a lack of stimulus this time around. Importantly, first home buyer demand remains soft, which is capping value growth:

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ScreenHunter_07 Jul. 09 08.16

unconventionaleconomist@hotmail.com

www.twitter.com/Leithvo

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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.
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