Chinese house prices leap

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From the MNI:

BEIJING (MNI) – Chinese house prices rose at their fastest pace in three years in June as buyers continued to pour in off the sidelines, convinced that a government crackdown on market speculation lacks bite.

Prices for new Chinese homes rose 8.81% y/y in June, according to a floor-space weighted average of prices in the 35 largest cities calculated by MNI. That marks the fastest pace since a +9.42% y/y gain in June 2010 and compares with May’s +7.84%, +6.60% in April and +4.88% in March.

On a sequential basis, prices rose for a 13th straight month in June, rising 1.01% m/m, only marginally slower than May’s +1.06% and compared with April’s +1.30% and March’s +1.45%.

In first-tier cities such as Guangzhou, Shenzhen, Beijing and Shanghai, year-on-year gains remained solidly above 10%.

Prices fell in just one of the 70 cities surveyed by the National Bureau of Statistics in June on an on-year basis, versus three in May. They fell in five cities on a month-on-month basis in June versus one in May.

Another headache for Chinese economic lever pullers. You would expect further measures to clamp down on real estate speculation as a part of the move to reduce mis-allocated fixed asset investment but how that is going to boost consumption in the short term I don’t know!

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.