Weekly RP Data house price update

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ScreenHunter_07 Mar. 20 20.55

By Leith van Onselen

In the week ended 6 June 2013, the RP Data-Rismark 5-city daily dwelling price index, which covers the five major capital city markets, recorded a large -0.22% decline, which followed last week’s -0.49% fall. It was the fourth weekly decline in a row (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_23 Jun. 06 21.55

Results were mixed, with falls in Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane partly offset by rises in Perth and Adelaide (see next chart).

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ScreenHunter_24 Jun. 06 21.56

Since the end of last year, home values have risen by 0.82% at the 5-city level, with all markets except Melbourne experiencing gains (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_25 Jun. 06 21.58
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Over the past 12 months, values have risen by 2.58% at the 5-city level, with all major markets experiencing increases (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_26 Jun. 06 22.00

The next chart plots the daily movements on a 14-day moving average, in order to smooth volatility. As you can see, the uptrend that had been apparent across most capitals continues to stall (Perth excluded) and some toppish formations have taken hold (see next chart).

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ScreenHunter_27 Jun. 06 22.03

Values are down -4.7% since peak at the 5-city level, with all major capitals in negative territory (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_28 Jun. 06 22.04
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However, major capital home values have now gained 2.7% since bottoming in May 2012, with all capitals rebounding (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_29 Jun. 06 22.05

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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.