Queue to short the Australian dollar

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From the WSJ:

U.S. hedge fund managers are lining up to sell the already battered Australian dollar, BlackRock Managing Director Michael Trudel said.

Mr. Trudel told The Wall Street Journal that “there are some pretty prominent hedge fund managers back in the states that have been vocal on getting short the Australian dollar.”

“We’ve rarely spoken to a person–either here or among strategists back in New York–that are long the Australian dollar,” said Mr. Trudel, who helps manage more than US$90 billion. New York-based BlackRock had US$3.94 trillion in assets under management as of March 31.

Mr. Trudel said slowing economic growth in Australia and the likelihood of resulting interest-rate cuts will keep pressure on the currency, although he said BlackRock doesn’t have a downside target. Another rate cut by the Reserve Bank of Australia “is in the cards,” he said.

This is the sort of story that suggests that the current move is exhausted. Especially with the taper suddenly off and the USD tanking. Pacific peso was up nearly 2 cents overnight:

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Not that I think any stability will last long with the RBA behind the curve.

About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.