Weekly RP Data house price update

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ScreenHunter_07 Mar. 20 20.55

By Leith van Onselen

In the week ended 16 May 2013, the RP Data-Rismark 5-city daily dwelling price index, which covers the five major capital city markets, recorded a -0.45% decline, which followed last week’s 0.38% rise. It was the biggest weekly decline in more than year (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_23 May. 16 20.25

All capital cities recorded falls over the week, with Sydney fairing the best and Adelaide the worst (see next chart).

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ScreenHunter_24 May. 16 20.29

Values are up by just 0.11% so far in May at the 5-city level, led by strong gains in Melbourne and Perth, partly offset by falls in the other major capitals (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_25 May. 16 20.32
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Over the past 12 months, values have risen by 3.61% at the 5-city level, with all major markets except for Adelaide experiencing increases (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_26 May. 16 20.33

The next chart plots the daily movements on a 14-day moving average, in order to smooth volatility. As you can see, all major capitals except Adelaide are in an uptrend (see next chart).

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ScreenHunter_27 May. 16 20.35

Values are down -3.5% since peak at the 5-city level, with all major capitals in negative territory, but with Sydney only slightly under water (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_28 May. 16 20.38
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However, major capital home values have now gained 4.2% since bottoming in May 2012, with all capitals rebounding (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_29 May. 16 20.40

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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.